I try to contain myself when on my trawl of punting / tipping sites but it absolutely irks (s#$ts) me reading about how every one of them has:

• Landed a massive quaddie every day of the week
• Has some ridiculous profit on turnover percentage
• Has just landed a $5000 first four
• Is on the way to solving world peace
• Has conquered time travel
• ….

There seems to be no intellectual rigour or expectation of balance. I know this is my bizarre need for justice (like being pissed off with people not queuing properly) but would a little honesty hurt?  Check out this little except from Expertform

Thursday, March 15th: Four meetings, Four quaddies selected: Bunbury: $7102. Hawkesbury: $526. Townsville: $310. Ballarat: $141. Taking all four, with every selection, profit of $5,579, or 223% on turnover..

Now it’s fantastic that they had a great day, we’ve all had red letter days on the punt.  And there’s no doubt that is some day.  But tell us what your running total is, I say.  What has happened to your profit if you had taken every quaddies every day since you’ve been running the program?  If you can show me that you’re running a profit for 12 months, giving out the same number of selections and backing them in the quaddie every day, I’m in for a piece.  Otherwise, on yer bike.

I went through some historical results for Expertform and for Winform racing and it was patently clear that if you just bet their selections blindly you were going to lose money hand over. Yet they pump out this crap on their sites about profits and quaddies and trifectas and overlays and blah blah blah.

Don’t get me wrong. I also know that they do provide good analysis and that their ratings are based on solid theories. Just why not sell the product on that? “We do a strong job. We have a basis for our ratings. It’s now up to you to apply them.”

There is still a place for integrity, even in racing and gambling.

The Mug